Polls for 2020 live: latest rift between Trump and Biden as one pollster says the president could win a second term

Conservative polls warn of a “hidden vote” as he expects Trump to win

Trafalgar Group pollster Robert Kahley, who made headlines in 2016 for being one of the few pollsters who expected Donald Trump to win, said the current president is on his way to winning re-election.

“I see the president win with a minimum of 270 seconds and maybe rise dramatically depending on the size of this undercurrent,” Kahali said, referring to the electoral college votes a candidate needs to win the presidency.

What we’ve noticed is that these polls often miss Trump’s hidden vote. There is a clear feeling among conservatives and those in favor of the president that they are not interested in sharing their views easily. These people are more reluctant to participate in the polls. So if you do not make up for this, you will not get honest answers. “

The Independent Daniel Zewellner has more on the story.

The latest national poll of voting intent from The Economist and YouGov put Joe Biden ahead of Donald Trump by 47 percent to 40 percent.

Up to seven percent of those surveyed said they would not vote, 4 percent were unsure and 2 percent intended to vote for a third-party candidate.

The poll of 1,500 registered voters was conducted between October 18-20.

Nationwide, Rasmussen says Biden’s progress is diminishing

Rasmussen Reports weekly White House poll shows that Joe Biden is outperforming Donald Trump by 49 percent to 46 percent among prospective US voters.

2% are undecided and 2% intend to vote for another candidate.

According to the poll, Biden had a 12-point lead two weeks ago, and an eight-point lead a week earlier.

This is the first time that Biden ballot numbers fall below 50 percent.

Why is this pro-Trump city still supporting him?

Andrew Boncombe reports from McLenny, Florida, where it was hard to find a bad word regarding the president’s handover of the pandemic.

Joe Biden World Series advertisement praised on Twitter

Advert invites Americans to come together, and set out from there, as election approaches. Gino Spokia Report.

Down to earth in Pennsylvania

Barack Obama is campaigning for Joe Biden in Pennsylvania today – his first personal appearance in the campaign.

Talking on Andrea Mitchell reports On MSNBC, Robert Costa, a national policy correspondent for the Washington Post, says the Biden campaign “needs to eat the support for Trump in Philadelphia that we saw in 2016, because President Trump may still have the turnout in western and central Pennsylvania.”

Turnout is the key to winning in Pennsylvania for Joe Biden according to Governor Ed Rendle, and there is huge enthusiasm in the state.

Former President Obama could help Biden’s campaign with “an important counter-message to the president’s efforts to remove black men,” says former RNC President Michael Steele.

The average state RCP polls show a clear narrowing of the race in the past 10 days, from Biden’s peak that rose 7.3 points to now just 3.7 points on Trump.

‘You will vote for Trump on election day or we will go after you’

Dozens of voters in a Democratic county of Florida received emails purporting to be from a far-right group that threatened to “vote for Trump or else!”

Numerous emails were sent to residents of Alachua County, Florida, who voted in 2016 for then Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton over President Donald Trump by a margin of 58 to 36 percent. Florida began early voting on the Monday ahead of the November 3 election.

James Cramp tells the story.

‘Prepare for the worst’: planning protests if Trump objects to the election result

Activists say they planned hundreds of protests in cities across the United States on November 4 if President Donald Trump refused to accept the November election result.

Earlier in the campaign, Mr. Trump had repeatedly blurred when reporters asked him if he would hand the keys to the White House should he lose to Joe Biden.

Trump won the rust belt provinces in the economy in 2016, but he may be on the verge of losing them due to the coronavirus

The same post-industrial regions that delivered this president were a surprising, surprising victory four years ago that may be backing down this time because his failure to lift them out of poverty or rein in Covid-19 has conspired to leave many people calling for change.

Why Trump is Working Better Than Ever With His Latino Voters

Although you might expect Hispanics to look at this president with contempt, given his harsh anti-immigration policies on the US-Mexico border and his outspoken racist rhetoric in 2016 and again when an immigrant caravan was demolished in the mid-term of 2018, this It isn’t necessarily the case.

Harriet Alexander examines the case.